2026 NBA Championship Odds: Thunder Heavily Favored Amid Best Start in Franchise History
2026 NBA Championship Odds: Thunder Heavily Favored Amid Best Start in Franchise History
2026 NBA Championship Odds: Thunder Heavily Favored Amid Best Start in Franchise History
chart visualizationRyan MurphyMon, December 1, 2025 at 3:18 PM UTC·1 min readLook out, but the Oklahoma City Thunder are finally back at full strength.
All-NBA forward Jalen Williams made his long-awaited return to the defending champs on November 28, re-joining a squad that had gone 18-1 in his absence.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementOKC has since rattled off a pair of victories and is now on pace to win the most regular season games in NBA history. It's heady territory for a young team that seems to be getting better with every passing week.
Let's dive into the latest NBA Championship odds as early season action unfolds.
🏆 2026 NBA Championship odds
📈 2026 NBA Finals odds over time
Here's a visual representation of how the NBA championship has odds evolved since June 2025.
💰 Sportsbook betting splits and insights
Highest ticket percentage• Nuggets 8.8%• Thunder 8.7%• Mavericks 8.2% Highest handle percentage• Thunder 17.9%• Mavericks 16.3%• Lakers 13.3% Biggest liability• Mavericks • Lakers• Warriors
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementData courtesy of BetMGM.
2026 NBA Championship opening odds
Thunder +230
Knicks +900
Pacers +900
Timberwolves +1000
Cavaliers +1100
Rockets +1200
Lakers +1600
Spurs +1600
Nuggets +1700
Celtics +2000
Warriors +2300
Magic +2500
Mavericks +4000
Clippers +4000
76ers +4500
Heat +5000
Pistons +7000
Bucks +7500
Grizzlies +10000
Raptors +15000
Suns +17000
Kings +20000
Pelicans +20000
Nets +25000
Hawks +30000
Bulls +40000
Trail Blazers +40000
Wizards +60000
Hornets +60000
Jazz +60000
🤖 AI NBA Championship prediction
We turned to the enormous computing power of ChatGPT to find out who the large language model believes will be the last team standing this season. Not surprisingly, it stuck with the defending champs.
Oklahoma City has the cleanest runway to be the best team in 2026: an MVP-caliber engine in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander entering the heart of his prime, a two-way star wing in Jalen Williams, and a 7-footer in Chet Holmgren whose blend of rim protection, spacing, and feel supercharges modern schemes. That trio already drives elite half-court efficiency and a top-tier defense, and it’s backed by organizational continuity that reliably turns role players into playoff-useful pieces. By 2026, Holmgren’s strength and timing should be fully NBA-hardened, unlocking more switching and fewer help-and-recover compromises, while SGA’s mid-range and foul-drawing remain matchup-proof in May and June.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementDepth and optionality push the Thunder over the top. They can win big or small, play five-out without sacrificing rim protection, and toggle between pressure defense and conservative coverages depending on opponent. Crucially, they still have surplus picks and cap flexibility to plug the inevitable holes that show up in a long postseason, whether that’s a second unit scorer, another stretch big, or a specialist wing.
Expect a rotation stacked with plus length, shooting, and decision-making around the core; enough to outlast the West’s heavyweights and finish the job in the Finals.
This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here
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