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Tennessee vs Houston Prediction, Picks & Best Bet for Tonight's College Basketball Game

2025-11-25 20:00
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Our Tennessee vs. Houston predictions back the Volunteers to cover the two-bucket spread. Free college basketball picks for Tuesday, November 25.

Tennessee vs Houston Prediction, Picks & Best Bet for Tonight's College Basketball GameStory byRohit PonnaiyaTue, November 25, 2025 at 8:00 PM UTC·3 min read

The Players Era Festival continues tonight with a slew of marquee matchups between some of the best teams in college hoops. That includes a clash between the No. 3 Houston Cougars and the No. 17 Tennessee Volunteers, which airs at 6:00 p.m. ET on TNT.

The Cougars clobbered the Volunteers in the Elite Eight last season, but my Tennessee vs. Houston predictions will back the Vols today.

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Here are my best free college basketball picks for this clash on Tuesday, November 25.

Tennessee vs Houston prediction

Tennessee vs Houston best bet: Tennessee +3.5 (-110)

The Houston Cougars entered this season with the third-best national title odds, but they haven't played up to those expectations.

They began this season with a couple of wins against low-major schools, where they didn't come anywhere close to covering massive spreads. They barely beat the only two good teams they've faced, edging No. 21 Auburn 73-72 and getting pushed into overtime by unranked Syracuse last night.

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That close victory against Cuse was particularly concerning since the Orange shot just 12-for-29 from the free throw line and were missing their best player in Donnie Freeman.

Meanwhile, the Tennessee Volunteers throttled Rutgers 85-60 last night to improve to 6-0. This is the first test of the season for the Vols, but they have plenty of experience and depth, along with a massive front court.

They're led by Ja'Kobi Gillespie (19.2 ppg, 5.7 apg, 40.8 3PT%) and freshman Nate Ament, who is expected to be a Top 3 pick in the NBA Draft.

Ament has been fantastic on both ends of the floor, averaging 19.0 points, 7.8 rebounds, 3.2 assists, and 2.2 steals per game. That's important for a Tennessee team that ranks 38th in the country in effective field goal percentage (57.1%) but also excels on defense.

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While Tennessee's five-star freshman has impressed, Houston's trio of Top 20 recruits has disappointed, with the exception of Kingston Flemings (16.0 ppg, 5.3 apg). Isiah Harwell is averaging 4.8 ppg on 33.3% shooting, while Chris Cenac is an effective defender but hasn't made an impact on offense.

The Cougars don't have many shot-makers and sit outside the Top 150 in eFG% (50.9%). I'll back the underdogs with the better offense and the best player on the floor in Ament.

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Tennessee vs Houston same-game parlay

This total is extremely low, but the Under still makes sense given this matchup. The Vols have struggled with turnovers, and the Cougars have the No. 1 defense in the country per KenPom and apply a ton of pressure on ball-handlers.

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Meanwhile, the Vols are third in the country in adjusted defense and have done a great job at taking away looks at the rim, forcing tough shots from the perimeter.

Since I expect the Vols to cover the full-game spread, let's also back them to cover the first-half spread to push this SGP to +390.

Tennessee vs Houston SGP

  • Tennessee +3.5

  • Under 133.5

  • Tennessee +1.5 1H

Tennessee vs Houston odds

  • Spread: Tennessee +2.5 (-102) | Houston -2.5 (-120)

  • Moneyline: Tennessee +134 | Houston -162

  • Over/Under: Over 133.5 (-105) | Under 133.5 (-115)

Tennessee vs Houston betting trend to know

The Cougars have gone Under the total in 24 of their last 42 games (+5.35 Units / 12% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for Tennessee vs. Houston.

How to watch Tennessee vs Houston

Location

MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, NV

Date

Tuesday, November 25, 2025

Tip-off

6:00 p.m. ET

TV

TNT

Tennessee vs Houston key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.Not intended for use in MA.Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

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