LOS ANGELES, CA - OCTOBER 06: Denver Broncos Wide Receiver Courtland Sutton (14) runs the ball for a touchdown during an NFL game between the Denver Broncos and the Los Angeles Chargers on October 06, 2019, at Dignity Health Sports Park in Los Angeles, CA. (Photo by Chris Williams/Icon Sportswire)Marshall GershonSun, November 30, 2025 at 2:19 PM UTC·2 min readThere’s no better way to enjoy a primetime matchup than by building a same-game parlay. The problem? Most SGPs are longshots designed to drain your bankroll. Those flashy +1,000,000 tickets look fun, but they almost never cash. The books want you to bet on those! At FTN, we take a different approach to SGPs. Using our Same-Game Parlay Tool, powered by 10,000 simulations for every matchup, we identify spots where the odds are actually mispriced. That means you’re not just throwing darts, but you’re building parlays with real edges, even when the payouts are big.
Denver Broncos @ Washington Commanders Same-Game Parlay
It’s not the flashiest matchup on the slate, but there’s real value hiding in this Sunday Night Football showdown. Bo Nix and the Broncos enter the week fresh off their bye and playing their best football of the season. Now they get a vulnerable Washington secondary that’s struggled all year. On the other side, Marcus Mariota is back under center for the injured Jayden Daniels, and he draws a brutal matchup against an elite Denver defense. With those angles in mind, here’s a three-leg parlay built on the strongest narratives in this game.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementLeg 1: Bo Nix Over 225.5 Passing Yards
Nix is coming off arguably his best performance of the season, throwing for 295 yards in a key win over the Chiefs. He gets another favorable setup here. Washington ranks bottom-five in DVOA against the pass, and while Tua Tagovailoa only attempted 20 passes against them in his last game, the five quarterbacks before him all cleared 250 passing yards — and the last three topped 300. If Denver lets Nix air it out again, this number is very reachable.
Leg 2: Courtland Sutton Over 51.5 Receiving Yards
Sutton has been quieter lately, but he’s still the unquestioned WR1 in this offense, running 93% of possible routes this season. The next-closest wideout, Troy Franklin, sits at just 82%. With volume dominance and a soft secondary on the other side, this matchup sets up perfectly for Sutton to bounce back.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementLeg 3: Marcus Mariota Under 18.5 Completions
Mariota is a capable fill-in, but this is a tough ask. Denver ranks as a top-three pass defense by DVOA and gets a major boost with Pat Surtain II returning this week. Given Washington’s offensive limitations and the strength of this Broncos secondary, it’s hard to see Mariota pushing 19 completions unless the game goes completely off script.
FTN’s NFL Betting ResourcesNFL Simulation Model
NFL Prop Tool
DVOA Game Projections
Bet Tracker with Expert Picks
Jeff Ratcliffe’s Player Props
NFL Same Game Parlay Tool
DVOA Rankings
Prop Shop
Parlay Odds Shop
NFL Odds