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'Avatar: Fire & Ash' Could Be the End of the Franchise If This 1 Thing Happens

2025-11-28 15:30
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'Avatar: Fire & Ash' Could Be the End of the Franchise If This 1 Thing Happens

James Cameron reveals Avatar: Fire & Ash could be the end of the franchise if it fails to make money to justify 4 and 5.

James Cameron Confirms That Avatar 4 and 5 Are Not Guaranteed and Need 'Fire & Ash' To Do 1 Thing Neytiri with a small lumminous creature in Avatar Image via 20th Century Studios 4 By  Chris McPherson Published 49 minutes ago Chris is a Senior News Writer for Collider. He can be found in an IMAX screen, with his eyes watering and his ears bleeding for his own pleasure. He joined the news team in 2022 and accidentally fell upwards into a senior position despite his best efforts. For reasons unknown, he enjoys analyzing box office receipts, giant sharks, and has become known as the go-to man for all things Bosch, Mission: Impossible and Christopher Nolan in Collider's news division. Recently, he found himself yeehawing along to the Dutton saga on the Yellowstone Ranch.  He is proficient in sarcasm, wit, Photoshop and working unfeasibly long hours. Amongst his passions sit the likes of the history of the Walt Disney Company, the construction of theme parks, steam trains and binge-watching Gilmore Girls with a coffee that is just hot enough to scald him. His obsession with the Apple TV+ series Silo is the subject of mockery within the Senior News channel, where his feelings about Taylor Sheridan's work are enough to make his fellow writers roll their eyes.  Sign in to your Collider account Summary Generate a summary of this story follow Follow followed Followed Like Like Thread Log in Here is a fact-based summary of the story contents: Try something different: Show me the facts Explain it like I’m 5 Give me a lighthearted recap

James Cameron has never been shy about swinging for the fences — after all, the phrase "Never doubt James Cameron" exists for a reason — but even he knows that Avatar: Fire & Ash is facing a make-or-break moment. The latest entry in the epic big blue alien saga arrives next month, but Cameron doesn't feel its future is in the bag. Speaking on The Town with Matthew Belloni podcast, Cameron admitted that if Fire & Ash doesn’t perform well enough financially, Avatar 4 and Avatar 5 could be shelved — and he’s prepared to accept that outcome. The director knows moviegoing habits have changed, and that people may detect a law of diminishing returns.

“We’re at about 75% of what [moviegoing] was in 2019,” he said, citing the “one-two punch” of Covid and streaming as key obstacles. He also pointed to the threat of “sequelitis,” saying audiences may not perceive Fire & Ash as the culmination of a trilogy in the same emotional way they once did with The Lord of the Rings. Cameron was just as blunt when asked about the film’s budget. Though he didn’t reveal a number, he didn’t have to — besides, we know it's probably the GDP of a small country by this point.

“It is one metric f*ck ton of money, which means we have to make two metric f*ck tons of money to make a profit. I have no doubt this movie will make money. The question is, does it make enough money to justify doing it again? I’ve been in Avatar land for 20 years — actually 30 if you count when I wrote it. Yeah, absolutely. Sure. If this is where it ends, cool.”

What Happens If 'Avatar 4' and '5' Are Canned?

One concern fans have raised is the franchise’s lingering story threads. Fire & Ash is designed to set up major moments for Avatar 4 and Avatar 5, and many wondered what would become of those arcs if Disney pulls the plug. The good news is, we'll definitely find out how it ends.

“There’s one open thread. I’ll write a book!” he said, making it clear he has no intention of letting the story drift unresolved — but also no intention of handing the movies to someone else. “Absolutely not. I don’t think there’d ever be a version where there’s another Avatar movie that I didn’t produce closely.”

Avatar: Fire & Ash opens this December.

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Avatar: Fire and Ash

Like Follow Followed Science Fiction Adventure Fantasy Release Date December 19, 2025 Runtime 195 Minutes Director James Cameron quaritch-looks-on-in-the-trailer-for-avatar-fire-and-ash.jpg 7 Images quaritch-looks-on-in-the-trailer-for-avatar-fire-and-ash.jpgQuaritch looks on in the trailer for Avatar Fire and Ashneytiri-looks-up-at-jake-in-the-trailer-for-avatar-fire-and-ash.jpgNeytiri looks up at Jake in the trailer for Avatar Fire and Ashempire-avatar-3-scoresby.jpgBrendan Cowell manning a turret on a boat as Mick Scoresby in Avatar Fire and Ashzoe-saldana-as-neytiri-snarling-with-a-bow-in-avatar_-fire-and-ash-trailer.jpgZoe Saldana as Neytiri snarling with a bow in Avatar_ Fire and Ash trailerneytiri-and-jake-walking-forward-in-the-avatar-fire-and-ash-trailer.jpgNeytiri and Jake walking forward in the Avatar Fire and Ash trailerhuman-vehicles-in-avatar-fire-and-ash.jpgHuman vehicles in Avatar: Fire and Ashspider-falling-in-avatar-fire-and-ash.jpgSpider falling in Avatar: Fire and AshClose

Cast

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  • instar53884470.jpg Sam Worthington Jake Sully
  • instar53766035.jpg Zoe Saldana Neytiri
  • instar52339277.jpg Sigourney Weaver Kiri
  • instar53563807.jpg Stephen Lang Colonel Miles Quaritch

Writers Amanda Silver, Rick Jaffa, James Cameron Producers Jon Landau, James Cameron Prequel(s) Avatar, Avatar: The Way of Water Franchise(s) Avatar Genres Science Fiction, Adventure, Fantasy Powered by ScreenRant logo Expand Collapse Follow Followed Like Share Facebook X WhatsApp Threads Bluesky LinkedIn Reddit Flipboard Copy link Email Close Thread Sign in to your Collider account

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