📊Serie A xG table: Roma sixth, Fiorentina-Genoa shock 😱

Twelve matchdays in and the first numbers are emerging in Serie A. Among the most striking and under scrutiny are the xG, a statistical model that measures the probability of a shot on goal turning into a goal.

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FBref has compiled a special ranking that takes xG into account in relation to the goals scored by the teams and the standings after 12 rounds. And there are plenty of surprises.

The complete ranking

• Inter (22.4)

• Milan (18.8)

• Napoli (17.2)

• Juventus (17.0)

• Bologna (16.8)

• Roma (16.2)

• Como (16.0)

• Genoa (16.0)

• Fiorentina (15.3)

• Atalanta (15.1)

• Torino (13.5)

• Lazio (13.3)

• Sassuolo (13.1)

• Verona (13.1)

• Udinese (12.6)

• Pisa (11.7)

• Parma (11.3)

• Cagliari (10.5)

• Cremonese (10.1)

• Lecce (8.7)

👑 Inter leads, Roma SIXTH

In first place, by a margin, is Cristian Chivu's Inter, with 22.4 xG. The Nerazzurri lead the ranking ahead of Milan, stuck at 18.8.

Gasp's Roma, the Serie A leader, is in sixth place with 16.2 xG, a full 6.2 less than Inter.

Roma has won 5 matches with more goals than chances created: Pisa 1-0 (0.8 xG), Verona 2-0 (0.9 xG), Fiorentina 2-1 (1.4 xG), Parma 2-1 (1.0 xG), Udinese 2-0 (1.5 xG), and Cremonese 3-1 (1.9 xG).

Conversely, Inter against Udinese, Napoli, and Milan, in three of the four defeats, scored less than what was produced: the Nerazzurri scored 1 goal (1.8 xG), 1 goal (1.8 xG), and 0 goals (1.9 xG) respectively.

🤯 SURPRISES Fiorentina and Genoa

But the big surprises come in the middle of the xG ranking, where we find Genoa and Fiorentina.

The two teams, tied at the bottom of the actual standings with 8 and 6 points respectively, are in 8th and 9th place in the xG ranking.

Genoa has a score of 16.0 xG compared to the 'only' 11 goals scored, one more than Fiorentina (15.3).

For Genoa, first coached by Vieira and now by De Rossi, the standout match is against Como, which ended 1-1 but with an xG of 2.2, and especially the defeats against Lazio (0-3 with 1.6 xG) and Torino (1-2 with 2.1 xG), while for the Viola, the 2-2 against Bologna came despite an xG of 3.4.

These data highlight the difficulty both teams have in capitalizing and finishing the chances they create.

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇮🇹 here.

📸 FILIPPO MONTEFORTE - AFP or licensors